Week 3 NFL Bets; Where does the Value Lie on New York Teams

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The NFL is three weeks into the season, and things are starting to shape up for teams in the Empire State. The Bills are the only New York team to have won a game thus far, coming int with a 2-0 record.

The Jets and Giants remain winless as both teams start the season 0-2. So far, things are right on par with expectations heading into 2020. The Bills are the best team in New York with the Giants and Jets lagging behind.

That does not mean there is no value when looking at the Week 3 NFL lines. Let’s breakdown each matchup and see if there is an edge heading into Sunday.

Odds

Los Angeles Rams @ Buffalo Bills (-2.5) O/U 48
San Francisco 49ers (-4) @ New York Giants O/U 41.5
New York Jets @ Indianapolis Colts (-11) O/U 44

Matchups

Rams @ Bills

The Rams head out to Buffalo this week for a big matchup on Sunday. Both teams are 2-0 this season and impressing in their first two games. Buffalo has had an easier schedule so far this season starting out against the Jets and the Dolphins. Los Angeles has taken on the Cowboys and Eagles, but the matchups did play into their favor.

However, the Rams may not be as fortunate heading into Week 3. The Buffalo Bills have a much better offensive and defensive line than the Cowboys and Eagles do. A lot of the Rams’ success came from dominating the line of scrimmage, which the Bills will not tolerate.

If the Bills are able to control the trenches and dominate up front, then they will be able to hold off the Rams and win this Sunday.

49ers @ Giants

The 49ers head back to New York this week to take on the Giants. San Francisco was in the Meadowlands last week when they faced the Jets. During that game, the 49ers suffered a ton of injuries, which will make the rest of the season more challenging.

Nick Bosa, Raheem Mostert, Solomon Thomas, and Jimmy Garoppolo are all out this Sunday. Dee Ford has not practiced this week, and George Kittle has been limited with a sprained MCL and knee bruise. On the Giants’ side, they lost Saquon Barkley for the rest of the season with an ACL injury.

Given the number of injuries in this matchup this week, the edge will go to New York with a lot of Niners stars sidelined for Week 3. Although the San Francisco roster is much better than New York’s there is no question that injuries will play a significant factor in this game.

The Jets will head to Indianapolis this week to face the Colts in their Week 3 matchup. New York has not put up a fight against the Bills or 49ers this season, and there is a good chance that Week 3 will not be much kinder.

The Colts bounced back in Week 2 against the Vikings after opening up the season losing to Jacksonville. Indianapolis will look to continue their winning ways trying to make it two in a row this week, as the Jets try to finally find a win in 2020.

Although the Colts are the better team, 11-points could be hard to cover, even against the Jets. One thing that is certain is Adam Gase needs to leave New York, as he is holding this team back.

Bets

Bills -2.5

Buffalo Bills

Buffalo’s edge in the trenches this week should make the difference, especially going up against Aaron Donald. The Rams have put up two nice wins to start Week 2, but this week should end with a loss as the Rams do have to travel across the country back to back weeks playing in the 1 o’clock hour.

Giants +4

New York Giants

Given the 49ers’ injuries, the Giants should keep this thing close. New York is much healthier, even without Barkley, and should be able to do more with San Francisco missing multiple key players in key positions. The Giants could possibly beat the defending NFC champs.